Investment Thesis Tracker
We make predictions. We track them. We show you the results—both wins and losses. Transparency builds trust.
View Performance DashboardTotal Theses
5
Active
2
Completed
3
Overall Accuracy
33%
1 of 3 successful
Active Theses (2)
sector
HumanExample: Healthcare Sector Outperforms in Q4 2024
Confidence:
50% 🟡
Created:Dec 10, 2025
Decision:Dec 31, 2024
healthcarexlvdefensive+2
Current Score:50%
fed policy
HumanExample: Fed Rate Cut Drives Tech Stock Rally
Confidence:
75% 🟢
Created:Nov 25, 2025
Decision:Dec 17, 2024
federal-reserveinterest-ratestechnology+2
Current Score:75%
Completed Theses (3)
stocks
HumanExample: AI Infrastructure Spending Drives Semiconductor Rally
Final Score:
0% 🔴
Created:Jan 4, 2026
Closed:Sep 14, 2026
semiconductorsainvidia+3
Final Score:0%
✗ Failed
stocks
HumanExample: Apple Vision Pro Launch Boosts Stock 15%
Final Score:
75% 🟢
Created:Jul 13, 2025
Closed:Nov 10, 2025
appleaaplvision-pro+2
Final Score:75%
✓ Successful
macro
HumanExample: Summer Driving Season Pushes Oil Above $95
Final Score:
25% 🔴
Created:Aug 12, 2025
Closed:Oct 11, 2025
oilenergycommodities+2
Final Score:25%
✗ Failed